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American Express: Well-Positioned for the Upturn in Business Start-ups

You won't find too many fans of the credit card/revolving debt sector, but American Express (AXP), which I first wrote about on April 27, 2009 at a price of $27.28, in my interpretation, still has considerable appeal. Here's why:

I expect credit card charge-offs to continue to stabilize in the quarters ahead, with a reduction in delinquencies, improving cash flow for AXP. That will help build capital for future expansion/new business projects. A better pace of small business/medium business expansion adds to the positive story, and AXP still has ample room to increase use of its business cards in the emerging markets of Asia and Latin America.

Continue reading American Express: Well-Positioned for the Upturn in Business Start-ups

Visa's Long-Term Story Remains Valid After Q1

Visa (V), a credit card company that competes with American Express (AXP), Discover Financial Services (DFS), and MasterCard (MA), is looking good after the Q1 report, which was released to the market after the bell on Wednesday. GAAP net operating revenue went up 13%. Net income was $1.02 per Class A share, representing a 38% year-over-year increase. According to TheStreet.com, the expectation was for 91 cents.

I simply love this business model. We're a society that is addicted to using credit and debit cards, and Visa takes a little percentage of each transaction. So far, the model is working like a charm. Visa expects prosperous growth in the future, plus a whole lot of free cash flow.

Continue reading Visa's Long-Term Story Remains Valid After Q1

Earnings Highlights: American Express, Coach, GE, Google, IBM, McDonald's ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • American Express Co. (AXP) doubled its bottom line in Q4 while its provisions for losses fell.
  • Blockbuster Inc. (BBI) warned of weakness in Q4 and lowered its guidance, sending shares lower.
  • Coach Inc. (COH) better-than-expected Q2 earnings were accompanied by sales growth, but shares fell.
  • Comerica Inc. (CMA) posted a smaller-than-expected Q4 loss, sending shares to a 52-week high.
  • CSX Corp. (CSX) posted Q4 earnings that topped estimates but its revenue fell short of expectations.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: American Express, Coach, GE, Google, IBM, McDonald's ...

A Look at Three Quarterly Reports: Kimberly-Clark, Xerox, American Express

It's been a busy week in the equities market. Earnings reports are coming fast and furious. I thought I would catch up on a few companies with a brief look at their numbers.

First up is an entity from the consumer products sector. Kimberly-Clark (KMB), a colleague of Procter & Gamble (PG), issued fourth-quarter data on Friday. Sales increased over 8%, with a better currency environment helping things out. Organic sales powered up almost 3%, driven in part by higher prices. Per-share profit went up over 15% to $1.17.

Continue reading A Look at Three Quarterly Reports: Kimberly-Clark, Xerox, American Express

The Week in Preview: Q4 Earnings Expectations for the Financial Sector

Last week, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) led off the coming parade of earnings from the big banks when it reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year earnings, though its revenue fell short of estimates.

Plenty more earnings from the financial sector are due out this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate fourth-quarter earnings growth from American Express Co. (AXP), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (HCBK), SLM Corp. (SLM) and US Bancorp (USB).

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Q4 Earnings Expectations for the Financial Sector

Entrepreneur's Journal: Getting Your Customers to Pay Up ... and On Time

According to the latest American Express (AXP) OPEN Small Business Monitor report, there are signs of improvement. Yet, the fact remains that cash flow continues to be a problem for many business owners. In fact, they have had to take some tough measures, such as cut costs, renegotiate contracts, sell personal assets and even get a second job.

But there is another way to help deal with cash flow problems -- that is, get better at invoicing and collections. While this can be uncomfortable, it is a necessity for any successful business.

Continue reading Entrepreneur's Journal: Getting Your Customers to Pay Up ... and On Time

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, final 4

We started this review with 25 stocks of companies noted for their quality of management and how successful they have been at nurturing new leaders as presented in Fortune magazine. After running them through a serious screening process using universally agreed upon key metrics, the list has been reduced to six candidates for potential investment.

I will reiterate that there is no imperative to invest in any of them even if they might be among the best opportunities from a select list. While I think all of the original companies listed and stocks screened are well regarded that does not mean now is the right time to invest.

Regardless of the outcome of this process, and since price and timing are critical, it would be smart to create a stock watch-list with the inclusion of all six of these companies.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, final 4

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

This is the third screening to find value among Fortune's 25 corporate world leaders that have demonstrated an ability to regenerate themselves from within. The list has been cut to 18 and will be cut further here.

The methodology of using basic stock data points to identify potential value investments only sets the stage for success -- it assures nothing. While it is true that paying less is better than paying more and getting a higher yield is better than less, this gives you a scant picture of what is in people's hearts and minds, and that is harder to judge. Like the weather, no matter the predictions, you may not find out it is raining until you are standing in it. Regardless, it should be advantageous to start with good stock (pun intended) before you take to whittlin', and that we have.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Yesterday I started a review of 25 companies that Fortune deemed most successful according to their peers in developing quality leadership. Today I review the remaining 20, searching to find the ones that might be worth investing in.

Price-to-book (from 11/27/09) was used as the first value screen. The theory being from a value investor's perspective that buying for a price at or near the break-up value of the company provides downside protection. Of course that is easier said than done.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

The recent issue of Fortune magazine discusses how the best of the best train, guide and nurture top managers to become the leaders that will propel their corporations successfully forward. They list the top 25 companies, which I have used as the basis of a new review to see how they would fair against common metric screens.

In the past few months, many articles have posited that large-cap stocks should excel in the coming year based on their lagging the market behind smaller, more volatile stocks flying out of the March lows. I do not believe this is universally true. Plenty of large-cap stocks did well, such as Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG), while many small caps went nowhere. Even among the large caps included in Fortune's "Leadership 25," some have doubled.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANN, AXP, CIEN, DE, RA, SBUX, ZION ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Jefferies upgraded Starbucks (SBUX) to buy from hold, citing EPS and revenue momentum heading into 2010. The firm raised its target to $25 from $22.
  • Soleil upgraded Zions Bancorp (ZION) to buy from hold on valuation as it believes the recent pullback provides an attractive entry point. The firm has a $17.50 price target on shares.
  • RBC Capital expects Rigel Pharmaceuticals (RIGL) to sign a partnership for R788 in the next four months to run its global Phase III program. Shares were upgraded to outperform from sector perform and its target was raised to $11 from $9.
  • Deere (DE) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Shire (SHPGY) was raised to outperform from market perform at Bernstein.
  • Ann Taylor (ANN) was upgraded to overweight from market weight at Thomas Weisel.
  • J.M. Smucker (SJM) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANN, AXP, CIEN, DE, RA, SBUX, ZION ...

Closing Bell: An almost recovery (AMD, AXP, DRYS, ETFC, FTNT, VVUS)

The markets were higher before the economic data came to ruin the party. CPI came in higher than PPI on the inflation front, but there was a real disappointment in housing starts considering that many were expecting gains there. Oil inventory contractions across the board failed to boost that market considerably. A late day rally looked like a positive close was in the cards, but the buying action was only so much.

Here were today's closing levels:

Dow 10,426.31 -11.11 (-0.11%)
S&P 500 1,109.79 -0.53 (-0.05%)
Nasdaq 2,193.14 -10.64 (-0.48%)

Top Analyst Calls
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Stock & Market Rumors

Continue reading Closing Bell: An almost recovery (AMD, AXP, DRYS, ETFC, FTNT, VVUS)

Fed to chop gift card revenue stream

Retailers may lose a revenue lever to pull this upcoming holiday shopping season ... and it could be a big one. The number of shoppers expected to opt for gift cards rather than traditional purchased goods is likely to increase this year, as nobody wants to waste money on a loser present in a tough financial environment.

Gift cards make that problem go away, but flexibility isn't free. Retailers have tacked on a variety of fees to bring in a bit of extra cash from gift card sales, but if the U.S. Federal Reserve gets its way, these fees will be forced sharply lower.

Continue reading Fed to chop gift card revenue stream

American Express is in an uptrend

With American Express Co., (AXP), it's best to look down the field, i.e. think long-term, which is why I'm reiterating my Buy rating for the company, first recommended on April 27, 2009 at a price of $27.28. If you bought AXP in April, you're up about 51%.

As forecast, institutional investors (IIs) have looked right past AXP's likely double-digit revenue decline for 2009, to the probable sunnier skies in 2010. In the year ahead, charge-offs should continued to stabilize, amid slowing delinquencies.

Continue reading American Express is in an uptrend

Retailers offering new perks to encourage gift card giving

What's on your Christmas wish list? If the National Retail Federation is right, gift cards are probably holding a respectable place toward the top of the list. These little pieces of plastic are requested most this time of year, and they have the added perk of allowing people to get what they want instead of money wasted on presents that sucks. This trend may give retailers a hand this year, as they'll be able to keep their inventories down.

If shoppers are slow with the cash, retailers won't have to resort to just slashing prices as they had to last year to move product out the door. When the stuff on the shelves is cheap, gift cards aren't as attractive because there's a deal to be had! This year, if inventories are kept down, gift cards are more likely to move.

Continue reading Retailers offering new perks to encourage gift card giving

Next Page »

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-103.849,908.39
NASDAQ-15.072,126.05
S&P 500-9.451,056.74

Last updated: February 09, 2010: 08:55 AM

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